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South Carolina and Nevada: What you need to know now

Luke Skywalker

Super Moderator
{vb:raw ozzmodz_postquote}:
635915739435332992-SOUTH-CAROLINA-REPUBLICAN-PRIMARY-79836605-2-.jpg
Voters cast their ballots in the Republican Presidential Primary in Cayce, S.C. Feb. 20.<span style="color: Red;">*</span>(Photo: Erik S. Lesser, EPA)

Democrats in Nevada are deciding between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in caucuses today, while Republicans in South Carolina are casting primary ballots in a still-very-crowded field where<span style="color: Red;">*</span>The Donald has led<span style="color: Red;">*</span>all the polls.
Here’s what’s going on:
[h=2]Results in Nevada are coming in now:[/h][h=2]Hillary scores a card draw<span style="color: Red;">*</span>[/h]The Wall Street Journal's Reid Epstein reports she won with an ace of spades:
[h=2]Sanders supporter tries to place Hillary obit<span style="color: Red;">*</span>[/h]A man driving a Toyota Prius bearing Bernie Sanders stickers was reported to the Secret Service after the stunt at the Las Vegas Review-Journal, the newspaper reports:

The man, who identified himself as Don Schubert, was asked to leave the newspaper building's lobby after he filled out a standard obituary form identifying the deceased as Hillary Rodham Clinton, and listing her date of death as Feb. 20, 2016, the date of Saturday's Democratic Party presidential caucuses.
Schubert, reached by the Review-Journal Friday night, said it was done in the spirit of “political humor” and that a Secret Service agent told him he would not be arrested.
USA TODAY
Sanders, Clinton duke it out in Nevada where her big lead has dwindled




[h=2]Nevada caucusgoers looking for fake Democrats[/h]With a razor-thin margin between Clinton and Sanders in Nevada polling leading up to the caucuses (She is up 48.7% to 46.3% on average, according to RealClearPolitics), hijinks were bound to happen.
The state Democratic Party says it is on the lookout for Republicans trying to participate in its<span style="color: Red;">*</span>caucus on<span style="color: Red;">*</span>Saturday after college Republicans at the University of Nevada Reno encouraged members to caucus twice. The suggestion was that voters could participate<span style="color: Red;">*</span>in the Democratic contest,<span style="color: Red;">*</span>presumably to<span style="color: Red;">*</span>tip the scales in favor of Bernie Sanders because they believe<span style="color: Red;">*</span>a “socialist”<span style="color: Red;">*</span>will be easier<span style="color: Red;">*</span>for a<span style="color: Red;">*</span>Republican nominee to<span style="color: Red;">*</span>beat in November. Due to a loophole in state law, they said, voters could then participate<span style="color: Red;">*</span>again in the Republican caucuses scheduled Tuesday.
Nevada State Democratic Party Chair Roberta Lange quickly warned Friday that such shenanigans would constitute a felony.
“The Nevada State Democratic Party will work with law enforcement to prosecute anyone who falsely registers as a Democrat to caucus tomorrow and subsequently participates in the Republican caucuses on Tuesday.”
[h=2]Social media analysis predicts big Sanders win[/h]
635915745455411582-BernieNevada.jpg
Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) greets workers at the MGM Grand Casino Feb. 20, 2016, in Las Vegas.<span style="color: Red;">*</span>(Photo: Joe Raedle, Getty Images)

A company called Cision analyzed social media during the past week —<span style="color: Red;">*</span>a lot of it — and is projecting that Bernie Sanders will beat Hillary Clinton in Nevada 53%-47%.
That was the result based on 4.4 million social media mentions for each, including on Twitter, YouTube, online forum comments and Facebook fan page mentions.
Just in from Facebook: chatter on the site between 12 a.m. and noon Saturday also favored Sanders by a yuuuge margin: 69%-31%. Of course, one could argue his supporters, who<span style="color: Red;">*</span>have skewed younger than hers, would more likely be on Facebook after midnight.
Cision correctly predicted victories for Sanders and Donald Trump in New Hampshire using a similar analysis, but those races were not as close in the polls. We should know if they are right about Nevada by late afternoon.
The company also has predictions on today’s Republican primary in South Carolina, based on 9 million mentions: Donald Trump 40%, Ted Cruz 20%, Jeb Bush 14%, Marco Rubio 13%, John Kasich 8%, and Ben Carson 5%.
[h=2]Did Will Ferrell flip to Hillary?[/h]The Clinton campaign tweeted out a video Saturday showing the comedian urging Nevadans to caucus for Hillary (and praising some chocolate custard). According to Variety, he had been listed as a supporter of Bernie Sanders on his campaign web site. In any case, he's no longer listed.
[h=2]<span style="color: Red;">*</span>[/h][h=2]Meanwhile, in South Carolina…[/h]Donald Trump has been tweeting much of the day, and has so far attacked...


  • Marco Rubio

Remember that Marco Rubio is very weak on illegal immigration. South Carolina needs strength as illegals and Syrians pour in. Don't allow it
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 20, 2016




  • Ted Cruz



  • All his fellow Republican candidates:

I am the only candidate (in many years) who is self-funding his campaign. Lobbyists and $ interests totally control all other candidates!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 20, 2016




  • Oh, and President Obama:

I wonder if President Obama would have attended the funeral of Justice Scalia if it were held in a Mosque? Very sad that he did not go!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 20, 2016


No pope attacks yet, but hey, there's still time...
[h=2]Voters are reporting long lines at polling stations[/h][h=2]And Bush and Kasich teams are fighting over who’s doing worse[/h]Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s chief strategist said Saturday morning that South Carolina will mark the end of Jeb Bush’s presidential aspirations, via the Washington Post:

“For all practical purposes, there’s no path forward for Governor Bush," Weaver said in a strategy briefing with reporters. "There’s no state post-South Carolina where he’s not either last or close to last.”
The Bush campaign fired back:

"John Kasich is running a zombie campaign that exists only in three states in the hopes that he can gain some cache in the Vice Presidential sweepstakes," Bush spokesman Tim Miller said.
That led to our favorite shot so far in the skirmish.<span style="color: Red;">*</span>Kasich's campaign sent this to Miller - a GIF of “Animal House” character Chip Diller trying to calm a stampede of people leaving…
The Bush campaign has been facing increasing pressure to do well in South Carolina amid headlines in recent days suggesting the Palmetto State may be his<span style="color: Red;">*</span>his last stand and that his staffers are already looking for work elsewhere.
USA TODAY
GOP hopefuls make final pitches to South Carolina voters ahead of primary




USA TODAY
Nevada caucus and South Carolina primary: A viewer's guide




USA TODAY
Coin flips? In Nevada, Democratic caucus ties are luck of the draw








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